Rob Tyson – Peel Mining

ONE OFF THE WOOD: Travelling home from the recent RIU Resources RoundUp in Melbourne, Peel Mining (ASX:PEX) managing director Rob Tyson dropped in to tell us the latest on the company’s Mallee Bull story.

Peel Mining has been creating quite a bit of interest with the drilling results emerging from the Mallee Bull project. Where is it, what is it and why is it causing such a fuss?

Mallee Bull is our main project, located in western New South Wales, near Cobar, which is eight hours west of Sydney, half way to Broken Hill.

 

I tell anybody I meet that it is, in my mind, one of Australia’s great mineral provinces.

We all know of Mt Isa, Broken Hill and Olympic Dam, I would rate Cobar in that league.

The Cobar region has a pretty well documented history of mining through the CSA copper mine?

The CSA Mine ore body has been mined since the late 1800s. It was originally mined for around 50 years then after a hiatus began operation again in 1960.

It has pretty much been mined consistently since then producing average grades of around 5.5 per cent copper in recent times.

We’re 100 kilometres south of that mine.

What is it you have found?

Mallee Bull is a greenfields discovery. We were initially drawn to the area by another prospect called May Day.

Looking over the historic reports we had access to, we saw there had been hits of high-grade massive sulphides at depth.

We drilled some holes there hoping to see more of the same and only came up with one skinny intercept that didn’t excite us too much.

What shifted your focus to Mallee Bull?

MMG were flying a VTEM survey in the area so we tacked onto that and flew over the May Day area, as well as another area to the northeast, which was covering an historic magnetic anomaly, called G5.

The southern end of the magnetic anomaly was in the historic four mile gold field.

The survey highlighted a coincident EM and magnetic anomaly sitting smack bang in the middle of the old goldfield.

It almost sounds like it found you instead of you finding it?

I spoke to our geophysicist after we had conducted the survey and told him we had some data we thought was worth looking at.

He said if we had run the idea of the VTEM past him before we did it he wouldn’t have been too keen on the idea.

After looking at the data he agreed we had located something saying it was good as anything he had previously seen in the district.

Once you had identified the conductor you set about drilling. When did all that kick off?

We commenced drilling at Mallee Bull in March last year, initially conducting three RC holes.

We got a few sniffs that kept us interested, the best being 10 metres at 24 grams silver and 1 per cent lead and 2 per cent zinc.

We saw hints of copper and a bit of gold, but there was nothing in those first three holes to explain the conductor the VTEM had identified.

We conducted some downhole EM work that showed we hadn’t hit the conductor, so we stepped back and drilled two more RC holes, one in front and one behind. Nothing again.

That dance went on for some time, didn’t it until you struck through?

Drilling hole six we anticipated hitting the conductor at 200m downhole and at 240m we hadn’t hit it and the hole was lifting and the rods were looking like they were about to get jammed.

So we pulled that one up and at this stage I was thinking – this is the last roll of the dice – so we moved to halfway between hole four and hole six – and hole seven hit.

What did it hit?

It returned 10m at 2.41 per cent copper equivalent comprising 1.70 per cent copper, 46 grams per tonne silver and 0.27 grams per tonne gold and 4m at 2.31 per cent copper equivalent comprising 1.49 per cent copper, 59 grams per tonne silver and 0.18 grams per tonne gold.

We knew at that point that we had something pretty exciting and we also realised that we had pulled up that other hole too soon.

So we went back and put a diamond tail on the drill and that was the hole that really excited the market.

You say that was the hole that excited the market. What was the result of that excitement?

We began to attract the attention of the industry, particularly those with a sound knowledge of the area we are operating in.

I noticed some well-known directors and geologists of exploration and mining companies familiar with Cobar, appearing on our share registry.

What sort of affect has that change had on the company?

We reached a point where we really needed to raise more money to keep drilling. And the market was rubbish.

Throughout the first exploration campaign CBH Resources managing director Stephen Dennis had called a couple of times, as well as few other interested parties.

The CBH deal was the only one that suited us; we really wanted to maintain at least a 50 per cent ownership.

They were valuing the project at the time we did the deal at twice our market cap.

Their 50 per cent earn-in at $8.33 million put more value on Mallee Bull than the market was putting on Peel, so it was a no-brainer deal really. Plus they are miners.

It basically comes down to somebody familiar with the region has recognised the potential of the project and is willing to help you get the project up and running?

That’s right; they have that local knowledge, they know the district.

The Jury is still out on Mallee Bull at this stage, it is still too early to really know if it is going to be a real boomer of a project or not.

But the prize is worth hunting for. If you do find a boomer here, history tells you that they’re usually pretty good.

 

So you have the bull by the tail so to speak?

It’s an exciting time for us. We kept plodding away and kept exploring and I guess we just got lucky.

That’s more than a throwaway line as you have really made you own luck?

We persevered; it was systematic. We did everything that you should do in exploration.

It is hard to walk away from a project when you haven’t tested it properly. Some people may have walked away after those first three holes.

Where do you go from here?

We’re still waiting on some assay results to come through from the drilling as well as some geophysics. We still have a couple of holes to go as well.

I think we have proven this system is quite significant.

It’s not a company maker right at this second, but if we can have another couple of good hits, it’s probably not far off.

Intra Energy Corporation

Coal stocks have been punished on the Australian Securities Exchange lately, especially after the price of thermal coal coming off an all-time high of $US192.86 per tonne in July 2008 to hit a recent price of US$93.44 per tonne.

China has recently become the price setter for thermal coal, overtaking the other large importer, Japan.

Therefore, a change in how China prices the commodity is set to affect both Australia and Indonesia, who together supplied more than half of China’s 150 million tonnes of coal imports in the first eight months of the year.

Thermal coal provides more than two-thirds of China’s power needs, and China expects thermal coal prices to fall further from the current prices.

It costs Indonesia’s large miners between US$30 and US$55 to produce a tonne of coal and transport it to ports.

These low costs are only matched by some South African mines, while Australia’s large miners spend at least US$80 per tonne.

This new paradigm for coal prices presents opportunities for other geographic regions.

Intra Energy Corporation (ASX:IEC) is a coal explorer and operator based in Tanzania, on the east coast of Africa.

As such, it is not affected by international coal prices.

It is a small scale coal producer on the east coast of Africa, a location that affords it an advantage in dealing directly to customers in that region.

The company’s project, the Mbalawala mine, is located in the Ngaka coalfield, and is operated through a holding 70 per cent interest in Tancoal Energy Limited.

 

Mbalawala mine pit

 

Tancoal owns six coal tenements that are located 40 kilometres to Lake Nyasa, and 650 kilometres to the port of Mtwara.

The deposit is land locked, however the company is selling to local concrete businesses, tobacco companies and breweries.

The ‘big ticket’ item for the company will be supplying future power stations.

During 2012, IEC signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Tanzania Electric Supply Company for the development of a 120 megawatt (nett) coal fired power station in close proximity to the Tancaol mine.

Tancoal expects to supply approximately 400,000 tonnes of coal per annum to the power station.

That is a large increase on the company’s current sales of just over 26,000 tonnes for the year.

The company is well placed to increase production, with all equipment owned, and has capacity to move to 30,000 tonnes per month very quickly.

The major upside is the power station though, and there is speculation a Price Purchase Agreement should be announced before the end of 2012.

This would give the market an understanding of capital requirements, and potential revenue from the power station.

The current cash costs are very low, with US$14 per tonne to dig the black stuff out of the ground, an internationally competitive cost.

Labour costs are low compared to other coal producing countries; however infrastructure remains a significant hurdle.

These infrastructure issues are being worked on by management, which comprises a main executive of Australians who are well-experienced in start-up coal projects.

Intra Energy is a company with large ambitions, and has been relatively quiet about its intentions.

It is a coal stock to watch while the others are battling high labour costs, high capex and lower international prices.

Peter Hayes
Investment Manager

Promise for nickel market as China could miss targets

CONFERENCE CALL: The market bottom for nickel has most likely been reached with an upswing pending, according to Australia’s third largest nickel producer.

Speaking in Perth at the 2012 Paydirt Australian Nickel Conference, Western Areas (ASX:WSA) managing director Daniel Lougher, said that while the base metals’ current price made it uneconomic for many mines, it simultaneously was choking any new supply potential and that would drive the upswing,

The more positive price outlook was also enhanced by the pending limited sources of good quality nickel future supply for smelters, as there was now emerging margin compression on nickel pig iron, which is a poorer nickel substitute relied on by some smelters.

“In addition, the huge laterite nickel projects continue to be serial underperformers with capex blowouts, failure to meet production targets and high energy demands,” Lougher told the conference.

“Indonesia also recently added to the changing market outlook, imposing nickel ore export bans and tax hikes.

“There had also been no major new discoveries in conventional nickel sulphide, with maturing nickel camps still servicing 45 per cent of global nickel production.”

Lougher said most analysts were tipping the pickup over the next three to six months – which would coincide with pickup in seasonal demand.

Western Areas produces around 31,000 tonnes of nickel mined and 25,000 tonnes of nickel in concentrate, ranking it the country’s third largest producer behind BHP-B Nickel West and Glencore.

Its operations are heavily centred on the Wiluna to Ravensthorpe corridor of Western Australia, but the company has expanding operations located in Canada and Finland.

The Finland operation is the possible subject of a listing on London’s AIM, although Lougher did indicate this was, “dependent on market conditions.”

“What the market needs to recognise more fully is that nickel is a very cyclical commodity,” he said.

“In the past 12 years, Western Areas has had to deal with nickel prices ranging from US$3.00 a pound to US$23.00 per pound.

“Yet throughout these cycles, we have still managed to raise $300 million in development capital, commission two mines, grow resources, reserves and production and construct then expand our nickel concentrator.”

Also speaking at the conference was Sydney based resources analyst AME Group senior nickel analyst Piers Montgomery.

He warned conference delegates that planned new nickel production in China may not ever eventuate as the country’s economy struggles to balance its ore sourcing requirements.  

Montgomery said the basis of the problem was increasing restrictions on the lesser feeder stock, taking nickel pig iron to a point where, “nickel pigs won’t be flying”.

“There are a number of ‘possible’ nickel production scenarios facing China,” Montgomery said.

He indicated that total Chinese finished nickel production capacity could be as high as 900,000 tonnes by 2015 if all large-scale new projects are delivered, at which point China could then be a net exporter of nickel.

New capacity under construction in China overwhelmingly relies on medium to high-grade saprolite nickel ore as feedstock.

“Due to falling grades, these ore types have already become difficult to source in large volumes,” Montgomery explained.

“And if you look at where China sources its ore – 53 per cent of its imports last year came from Indonesia – a large producer of nickel pig iron – but fast forward to this year and these same import flows reduced by 65 per cent between May and July – and – Indonesia is currently imposing export bans.

“Replacement sources from the Philippines are lower grade and highly seasonal.

“Take Indonesia ore out of the equation and Chinese finished nickel production may peak as early as next year and it is entirely plausible that some new capacity may never enter production.”

Montgomery said the slowdown in the Chinese Indonesian nickel link was evident as recent as August with Chinese imports of Indonesian ore remaining at 1.5 million tonnes.

“After consistent builds for the past year, stocks of nickel ores at Chinese ports have also begun to decline so that puts further pressure on China’s ore sourcing capacity going forward,” he said.

Millennium completes first gold pour at Nullagine

Millennium Minerals (ASX:MOY) has completed its maiden gold pour from the Nullagine gold mine in the East Pilbara District of Western Australia.

The Nullagine gold project is a 1.33 million ounce gold resource contained within seven deposits on granted mining leases.

The largest deposit is Golden Eagle located south of the township of Nullagine and containing 62 per cent of total Mineral Resource inventory.

 

Nullagine deposit location plan. Source: Company announcement

 

The first gold bar was poured on 30 September 2012, which the company said was a significant milestone in its transition from development to operations.

“The company’s first gold pour is a very significant achievement marking our transition to Australia’s newest gold producer,” Millennium Minerals chief executive officer Brian Rear said in the company’s announcement to the Australian Securities Exchange.

“I would like to thank our dedicated employees and our contractors who have delivered a functioning mine and production facility in less than 12 months site activity to budget and on time, an exceptional effort.

“I would also thank our shareholders and our financiers for their strong support and providing the company with the financial backing to achieve our objectives.

“We are now focused on maintaining continuous operation of the plant and achieving our planned production objectives from October onwards.”

The gold pour marked the successful completion of the commissioning of the process facilities.

Millennium said the commissioning phase had progressed well since first ore was fed to the SAG mill just over two weeks ago, with no indications as yet of any particular deficiency in design or installation that might materially affect its performance going forward.

The mining operation and the processing plant are now on an operational footing.

The company said it was now focused on settling all elements of the project into a consistent 24 hour operation at nameplate capacity.

The primary crushing facility has been run above design throughput levels, which Millennium said augers well for any future plans to increase production levels.

The SAG mill and CIL circuit are running at design throughput levels.

Venturex drilling puts bounce into Sulphur Springs

THE DRILL SERGEANT: Venturex Resources (ASX:VXR) has reported some positive drilling results from an ongoing exploration program at the company’s Sulphur Springs copper-zinc deposit in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.

 

Sulphur Springs project location. Source: Company announcement

 

The company completed six hole RC drilling program at the main Sulphur Springs deposit targeting potential high-grade extensions to the Western Lens copper-zinc mineralisation at depth.

Vetnurex said the RC drilling had intersected significant widths of massive and stringer sulphide mineralisation in all drill holes with geological logging and preliminary Niton (XRF) readings indicating extensive zones of high grade zinc and copper mineralisation.

Details of the drill hole intersections include:

–    26 metre zone of massive and disseminated sulphides from 210 metres depth including 10 metres of massive sulphide from 210 metres depth plus an additional 8 metres of massive sulphide from 232 metres depth;

–     15m zone of massive sulphide mineralisation from 174m depth plus a 7m zone of massive and disseminated sulphide mineralisation from 232m depth;

–     11m zone of massive sulphide mineralisation from 215m depth plus a further 7m zone of massive and disseminated sulphide mineralisation from 234m depth; and

–    7m zone of massive sulphide mineralisation from 188m depth plus a 2m zone of disseminated sulphide mineralisation from 242m depth.

Venturex said the intersections recorded in these first four holes were considerably thicker than it had anticipated and extend the mineralisation beyond the current resource model into this area.

Subject to final assays, it is anticipated that the proposed mine design will be extended to include this area as part of the current Feasibility Study.

Further results included:

–    6m zone of disseminated and stringer sulphides from 229m depth; and

–    6m zone of disseminated and stringer sulphides from 217m depth.

Venturex explained these two holes have extended the zone of footwall stringer mineralisation to the west of previous intersections and indicate a possible connection with similar mineralisation intersected previously at the Bledisloe prospect located 600 m further west.

“These new intersections at Sulphur Springs have the potential to extend the area of high-grade mineralisation at the base of the Western Lens,” Venturex Resources managing director Michael Mulroney said in the company’s announcement to the Australian Securities Exchange.

“We anticipate that it is highly likely the underground mine plan can be expanded into this area and potentially extend the life of the planned underground mining operation at Sulphur Springs.”

Venturex said assay results are pending for all mineralised intersections and are expected to become progressively available over the next few weeks.

The company anticipates commencing work on upgrading the Sulphur Springs resource model and the underground mine design as soon as the final assay results are received.

Peter Spiers – Orbis Gold

ONE OFF THE WOOD: Orbis Gold managing director Peter Spiers found time from a busy schedule at the RIU Melbourne Resources RoundUp to speak with The Roadhouse about the company’s West African adventures.

The name Orbis Gold (ASX:OBS) is one that is unfamiliar to me. Is that because I haven’t been paying enough attention or because you haven’t been around that long?

As a company we have been listed on the Australian Securities Exchange for just on four years, however for most of our life we were known as Mt Isa Metals.

We commenced life exploring in northwest Queensland.

A lot of my career, and that of the rest of the team, has been involved in gold mining, which meant making the move into a gold exploration play was a logical step.

Just over two years ago we moved into gold exploration in West Africa and just in the last month we changed the company name to Orbis Gold to reflect what we do, which is looking for gold on a global basis.

We’re very happy to have such a healthy starting point in West Africa.

Where are you in West Africa exactly, what are you doing there and what have you got?

We are exclusively focused on West African gold in the Birimian Gold Province, which is one of the richest gold provinces in the world having produced more than eighty one million ounce plus gold deposits across the region.

There are eight small countries that make up the province. We are in one of these – Burkina Faso, which was formerly known as the Upper Volta.

We have got a very large landholding in the country covering over 4,000 square kilometres of exploration permits.

There must be some traffic to negotiate on your way to site these days with the number of Australian-based companies operating in the country at present. Do you have any neighbours of any particular note?

Because our permit holdings are quite widely spread we have the luxury of having a lot of neighbours of sorts.

However, we are operating in the southeast corner of the country, which is a much less-explored and remote part of the country.

It has been overlooked from an exploration viewpoint so many of our core project areas that comprise large landholdings.

We actually hold the entire belt, so we don’t have any large-scale neighbours in that part of the world.

Burkina Faso must be a reasonable place to operate and do business if it is able to attract so many companies to set up shop there. What was it about the country that resulted in you making the move there?

When we originally looked at the region, as I said we had eight different countries to choose from, it really came down to a risk/reward approach.

The prospectivity is excellent in any of those countries; it just came down to the question of where we thought we would best be able to do business.

The Burkina people pride themselves on being upright, loyal and honest, which means corruption in the country is very low.

The landscape is much the same as you would see in many parts of Australia, you could be driving around thinking you are just near Kalgoorlie, and so we feel quite at home there.

It was really all about the ease of doing business in a country that welcomes us from all levels including the local villagers who love to see us there through to the government.

The government likes us being there, especially as we are investing money in the country, which the government considers to be a good thing for the country in the long term.

Could you run us through the projects you have there and what particular pecking order they may be in?

We have been exploring in Burkina Faso now for, just coming up to two years, so we are still relatively new to the country.

There are three main project areas that we are putting most of our funding into.

The Nabanga gold project is our headline project, on which we have just announced a maiden resource of 660,000 ounces at 6.5 grams per tonne gold from surface in what is called an intrusion-related deposit.

These can be very big deposits. It has been drilled over 2.3 kilometres of strike, it is open below 200 metres depth and we have very high hopes for a large scale system in that area.

That’s your headline project, what’s next in line?

Next we have one project in the far east of the country and another located in the far west of the country.

The first of these is a prospect called the Boungou gold prospect, which lies within highly prospective greenstone rocks at the south-west end of the Diapaga Greenstone Belt and is associated with major regional-scale faults.

At the other prospect, called Bantu in the far west, we have a suite of brand new high-order soil anomalies that we are really interested in drilling once the current wet season rains stop.

That’s quite a bit of work to get through. How do you have it all prioritised for the year ahead?

We have a very busy program scheduled for the year ahead.

We now have Nabanga basically operating as a project in its own right complete with a separate management team looking after things there.

Our aim is to double the resource at Nabanga and proceed to a pre-feasibility study after that.

One the other project areas it really is a questions of which of the targets we decide to give first priority.

We have multiple drill targets for the New Year; we have soil programs lined up ready to go.

We’re really just waiting for the rain to stop so we can get stuck in.

Has it been difficult for you to identify which of the prospect you should target first?

One of the problems we have had to face is that on the three main project areas we have already drilled we have made three discoveries.

So, we’re not in the position to place crosses next to any particular targets as we are literally finding gold where-ever we drill.

That’s the sort of problem I’m sure you will find some way of dealing with?

Success breeds success.

The market is highly-supportive of us and our results so far.

If we continue to achieve those positive results we would like think the market would still be there supporting us going forward.

Victoria – Open for (resources) business

OUT AND ABOUT: Opening the RIU Melbourne Resources RoundUp, Victorian Minister for Energy and Resources Michael O’Brien paid homage to the state’s mining history by informing those present of the state Parliament’s decision to establish a Victorian mineral emblem.

“It will not shock you to hear that we, as a Parliament, unanimously decided to appoint gold as the mineral emblem of this state,” O’Brien said.

Gold would be a sensible choice given it practically put Victoria on the map through the gold rush days that set the scene for much of what the modern-day industry endures.

The miners’ strike at the Eureka Stockade railed against taxes of the time that were focussed on allowing the sticky fingers of the government at the time to find their way into the pockets of those lucky enough to make a strike.

The stand also, in an ironic twist, gave us the flag of the Southern Cross, which has been adopted by the union movement and waved by workers in many struggles with today’s mine management.

Many Melbourne landmarks, including Parliament House, the Supreme Court, and the Exhibition Building are testament to civil legacy that mineral resources have delivered to this state.

“That is an appropriate reflection of our history, but it is also a reflection of our future,” O’Brien said.

“It is also a reflection of the fact that we regard Victoria as still being a very prospective state.

‘The Government is determined to make sure that it is easier to do business in this state, in the mineral resources area.”

 

In its bid to achieve this, the Victorian Government is establishing the foundation membership of a new body called the Earth Resources Ministerial Advisory Council.

This new council will be charged with the responsibility to bring a range of views to the table in support of the sustainable development of the state’s resources sector, and consequently its economy by identifying both emerging issues and potential solutions.

“Through this, and other forums, we will be encouraging industry to work with us to better explain the benefits of mining and work closely to deal with the genuine concerns that sometimes arise in communities as a project develops,” O’Brien explained.

“Whether it is early exploration or production, businesses do need to bring local communities with them; government has a role in facilitating that.

“Through this new Earth Resources Ministerial Advisory Council we want to ensure Victoria is leading the way in terms of making sure the community is very much on side when it comes to these projects.”

O’Brien pointed to his record as Minister for Energy and Resources, relating one of his first achievements in the chair was to launch a parliamentary committee to explore greenfields development in Victoria.

The committee was asked to find out why the state was lagging in that particular area, the barriers the industry was encountering and how other states were dealing with the same challenge.

The committee returned with a list of 25 recommendations, which O’Brien indicated was made richer by enjoying bi-partisan support.

“I’m sure that as people involved in the industry you are as sick as anyone of being used as political football,” he said.

“What we don’t want to see are short-term, knee-jerk reactions, policies implemented one day – policies reversed the next; or policies changed by an incoming government if they’re going to hurt the industry.

“So we have worked very hard to deliver a series of major recommendations to changes of policy and regulation.”

As these recommendations have support on a bi-partisan basis, O’Brien stated they can endure beyond any future change in government.

He outlined the ambition would be to now respond to those 25 recommendations by the end of the year, saying he expected them to usher in an exciting time for those companies actively involved in the development of resources in Victoria.

“We know what your concerns are,” O’Brien said.

“We have heard them. We know that instead of dealing with different agencies and different departments you want to see a lead agency approach.

“You want to see a government actually shepherding you through the process and showing you how you can comply, rather than just saying yes or no and leaving you to your own devices.

“Victoria is very much open for business and wants to see business flourish here in this state.”

Chinese develop appetite for bauxite, copper and zinc

OUT AND ABOUT: China’s appetite for iron ore may have waned recently, however the new items on the Dragon’s menu look like being bauxite, copper, and zinc.

Everyone knows China has a huge appetite for commodities, that part of any resources-related story is not new.

However, its tastes appear to be changing and the magnitude of the resulting demand and the corresponding need to import material is going to determine what mines, outside of China, are developed.

“That’s what I mean by ‘Right Sizing’ for the market,” CRU Strategies senior consultant Katherine Wright told the RIU Melbourne Resources RoundUp this week.

“The concept obviously matters if you are an investor because if you want to know what projects are economically viable, particularly in this tough economic climate.

“And, obviously it matters if you are a miner because you want to know if the market can support your project.”

BAUXITE

China has aims to be self-sufficient in aluminium and in order to achieve this has been building more and more smelting and refining capacity.

CRU’s latest consumption forecast, indicates China only has enough bauxite reserves to last seven years.

“Obviously it is not going to go down to zero [reserves] as more resources are turned into reserves,” Wright explained.

“There will be some more bauxite, but I think China is going to need to find bauxite elsewhere in the world.

“The Chinese government has enhanced its exploration programs domestically in recent years, but the country still needs to import large quantities of bauxite.”

China currently imports most of its bauxite form Indonesia, while the world market is essentially fed by the Atlantic and Pacific Basins, much like iron ore used to be.

However, the Indonesian government recently through a spanner amongst the pigeons by announcing its intention to ban bauxite exports from 2014.

This has already had an impact on things with exports from Indonesia restricted in May / June of this year having a knock-on effect that caused some alumina refineries in China to cut back on production.

The next obstacle for the Chinese to negotiate is obviously how quickly the country can source bauxite and from which other countries will it do so.

Possible resources are emerging from Asia; or they could tap the newest kid on the bauxite export block of Fiji.

The demand could also prompt projects in Australia to get up and running more quickly; to ramp up to production more quickly resulting in more export from Australia.

“CRU believes the countries that are most likely to support China’s bauxite needs are those in the Pacific Basin,” Wright said.

“For the time being Indonesia will continue being the main supplier, but Australia will be this swing supplier in the market, which means it is the price-setting producer.”

COPPER

Wright told the conference audience that CRU forecasts more than 90 per cent of the new smelting capacity to be built out to 2017, will occur in China.

The country holds similar self-sufficiency plans for copper as it does for aluminium, which has created a much greater need for imports of concentrates.

“It should be noted in this case that China does actually import significant quantities of scrap and refined copper,” Wright said.

“Looking out further, for a few years, China has a very large concentrate supply gap and it is finding it very hard to close this gap because there is more competition in this market.”

The majority of China’s copper concentrate imports still come from the traditional markets of Chile and Peru in South America.

However, in recent years their share of the total has declined as China’s appetite for copper concentrates has grown, which has seen the number of suppliers and of countries involved in this market increase in kind.

While China has an equity stake in a number of copper projects throughout the world, it seems that stake is in less projects than may have been the case five or six years ago.

Many of the country’s domestic copper mines are small and high cost with costs continually on the rise, which makes it more economic for China to import copper concentrates than to produce them domestically.

“China will continue to get copper concentrates from the South American countries, but countries in North America and Africa will have to supply China with copper concentrates otherwise it won’t be able to feed the smelting appetite of the country,” Wright said.

ZINC

The fundamental global and the Chinese zinc markets have been in deficit for a number of years.

Chinese companies have been investing in zinc projects all along the value chain, however its smelter capacity is still forecast to outpace that of mine production.

Globally we are about to witness around 15 mines scale down production as they move towards closure over the next few years.

This has created an expectation that, within China, a lot of domestic zinc mines will be developed.

“Many zinc smelters in China do want to become integrated and the way to do this is to buy domestic mines,” Wright explained.

“These mines aren’t particularly low cost but the Chinese seem to be okay with that.

“They would rather build these higher cost mines than to deal with the bureaucracy of going outside China to develop projects.

“Outside of China, what we expect to happen is for the larger Chinese companies – those that produce more than 50,000 tonnes per year – to buy out projects that are being developed by junior miners in other countries like Australia, Canada, and in Africa as well.”

The emerging issue for companies with potential zinc mines is that for these projects to be built the zinc price needs to be about 50 per cent higher than what it is now.

“Demand is going to increase going forward over the next couple of years, but the price isn’t going to kick back overnight, which means these projects aren’t going to be financed for a number of years,” Wright said.

“Even though we can see the gap coming and everyone knows it is coming, the projects aren’t going to get financed.

“For those producers, or junior miners, that have zinc products have the cash to hold on for the next couple of years, there is going to be a bonanza, we expect, in the zinc market.

“Demand will go up and prices will, correspondingly, go up as well.”

Scott Lowe – Blackthorn Resources

ONE OFF THE WOOD: Blackthorn Resources (ASX:BTR) managing director Scott Lowe called in to discuss a recently completed scoping study at the company’s 100 per cent-owned Mumbwa project.

 

You’ve enjoyed consistent news flow over the past year, culminating in the positive scoping study results for your flagship Kitumba project. You must be happy with your progress?

It has been a really important year of achievement for us, at the Mumbwa project in Zambia.

BHP Billiton exited Mumbwa last year and about September we started drilling our first hole into the project.

In the past year we have achieved three major milestones. In February we announced some, truly world-class results, with the most outstanding hole being 230 metres of an average of 4.5 per cent copper.

In June we announced a JORC Resource upgrade to approximately 180 million tonnes at just under 1.2 per cent copper.

Now we have achieved our third major milestone with the release of our recently-completed scoping study.

So, it has been a very busy year, but it has also been a very successful one for the company.

 

You were originally involved in the project with BHP Billiton?

The project commenced life being wholly-owned by BHP Billiton. We farmed in to earn 60 per cent, which we did between 2005 to 2008, by fully-funding and managing the project.

In 2008 BHP Billiton exercised an option to ‘claw back’, which resulted in them fully-funding and operating the project up to 2011.

They spent three years and around $40 million looking for a tier-one deposit.

They gave up the search around August 2011 and we took over. They retain a two per cent Net Smelter Royalty but they have no other ‘back-in’ rights.

Have the results been what you expected after BHP walked away from the project?

If anybody had have asked me when BHP Billiton left, ‘what would you like to achieve in the next 12 months?’ I couldn’t have asked for more than what we have.

My wish list would have consisted of world-class copper results, a great Resource upgrade, and a positive scoping study; tick, tick and tick, thank you.

It may have been a different story had they drilled the hole you drilled after they had gone?

We will never know, but I can’t help wondering sometimes if they had drilled that hole whether they would still be there looking for the giant deposit we now hope to find.

It’s not an unfamiliar exploration tale for a company to drill close to where a previous explorer may have drilled only to find something exciting?

I’m a mining engineer by trade, which means I don’t choose where to drill the holes.

We have a number of experts working with us including non-executive director Derek Carter who people will know from his involvement with the Prominent Hill discovery.

We also employ a great geologist as our principal consultant on the project, a fellow called Tom Whiting, who happens to be the former head of exploration for BHP Billiton.

He’s one of our secret weapons. He has a very good knowledge of the project; he is a real believer in its potential.

So what has the scoping study told you about the project?

We know the industry is cautious when it comes to scoping studies, as they are completed to a lower level of accuracy than the more in-depth studies that follow.

However, we can say with confidence we have not found any fatal flaws and we can also say, with the usual scoping study caveat of accuracy, all the economic indicators are very positive; $1.50 per pound is a good cash cost and a sub-US$400 million capex is also very competitive.

The project compares favourably with our peers and I can’t think of too many other early copper projects with our scale of potentially being able to produce 50,000 tonnes ramping up to 70,000 tonnes of contained metal.

It also has a healthy Mine Life of around 14 years?

It has, and beyond that the upside can come from a bigger Resource from drilling we currently have underway of step out holes we think have the potential to grow the current Resource from a bigger open pit providing longer mine life.

Another potential upside is the underground element of the project. We haven’t done any underground work yet but looking at the current modelling we know there is copper mineralisation below the 400 metre mark with potentially more to be discovered.

So either an underground extension or an underground project could possibly extend the mine life or deliver improved economics.

Obviously the Kitumba project is getting most of the attention at this stage. What else does the Mumbwa project have in store for you?

We have three business objectives at Mumbwa: one is to take Kitumba and push it through the project development pipeline of pre-feasibility and feasibility studies along the path to production.

The second priority is to drill the Resource out, not only for increased confidence but also some step out holes with the aim of potentially increasing the size of the deposit and the size of the JORC-compliant Resource.

The third objective is to find new discoveries, greenfield if you like, on these leases. There are plenty of untested targets BHP Billiton left behind that did not fit their scale criteria.

Is your plan to get Kitumba up and running to generate cash flow in order to fund this greenfield exploration?

We completed a capital raising recently, resulting in a healthy bank balance of just over $40 million.

We can afford to spend some of that on greenfield exploration straight away, but it is the lowest of our current priorities.

 

What are you hoping to find at Kitumba?

The BHP Billiton dream is still alive. There just maybe a tier-one deposit here that BHP Billiton left behind.

I’m not saying there is definitely a tier-one deposit here. I’m just saying it’s far too early to conclude there is not.

The beauty for our shareholders is that it doesn’t really matter if there is one or not, we get to have our cake and eat it too.

The scoping study shows us there is already very god potential for an economic mine to be had here.

Your shareholders have plenty to be happy about in terms of your share price performance compared to some of your peers?

We’re always working on what we can do to enhance value and grow our share price.

There are eight different firms writing research on us as we speak with valuations varying from around $1.30 through to over $2.00.

According to the recently released Gresham Group 150 for financial year ending June 2012 we were the fifth best performing stock on the ASX for companies of any size for share price appreciation and the eighth best stock for market cap appreciation.

Would you say that is an indication of the consistency of the news flow you have released throughout the year?

We pride ourselves on high-quality and regular communication with the market, which has been underlined by the fact we have had some really good news to tell.

I think the combination of great results and delivery of tangible progress at Mumbwa, along with the fact Blackthorn owns 39.9 per cent of the soon to be commissioned Perkoa silver lead and zinc project with JV partner Glencore, which is beginning to be recognised by the investment community.

We are very excited about the future.

Cauldron Energy – Unveiling uranium opportunities

With several uranium projects across two resource rich countries, upcoming exploration campaigns across its major projects, an experienced board and management team and an expected uptick in the uranium market on the back of growing demand, Australian-based explorer Cauldron Energy (ASX:CXU) is certainly not sitting idle.

The Perth-based pure uranium explorer, which was formed following the tie-up of Australian juniors Scimitar Resources and Jackson Minerals in 2009, owns an impressive suite of uranium projects across Australia and Argentina.

 

Cauldron owns stakes in four main uranium exploration projects and an additional two licences, covering more than 9,500 square kilometres in Australia and controls over 3400 square kilometres of ground in six project areas in four Argentinean provinces.

AUSTRALIA

Yanrey

Cauldron’s Yanrey project lies some 85 kilometres south of Onslow in Western Australia and covers 1,930 square kilometres of Mesozoic sediments which are highly prospective for sandstone hosted roll front uranium mineralisation open to in-situ recovery (ISR) mining.

The project is located between two substantial uranium projects in the region. Adjoining to the north of Yanrey is Paladin Energy’s 24 million pound Manyingee uranium deposit, and to the south Energia Minerals’ has identified an Inferred Resource of 13 million pounds (Mlb) uranium and have a drill plan to continue growing their Carley Bore deposit.

Cauldron holds an 85 kilometre strike of ground which is highly prospective for low environmental impact and low cost for in-situ recovery (ISR) uranium deposits. This 85km strike lies directly between two existing uranium resources with the same geology trends running the full length of the strike.

Cauldron believe Yanrey has the potential to be a major uranium resource after identifying an exploration target of 25 to 35 Mlb (11,000 to 16,000 tonnes) uranium oxide at a grade of 300 to 900 parts per million in 11 paleochannel systems in 2009.

Existing within Yanrey’s 85km strike is the Bennet Well deposit which has a total Inferred Mineral Resource of 7.3 million tonnes at 300ppm uranium equivalent (4.8 Mlb uranium equivalent) estimated at a 150ppm cut-off.

According to Cauldron, Bennet Well mineralisation remains open in all directions including the area known as Bennet Well North East, where drilling in 2008 by Cauldron intersected a widespread zone of elevated uranium including 3.28m at 583ppm equivalent uranium oxide.

 

The company believes the style of mineralisation at Yanrey is similar to that of the Beverley-Four Mile and Honeymoon deposits in South Australia’s Lake Frome Basin, which both use ISR or in-situ leach (ISL) methods to extract uranium, putting them in the lowest quartile of cost producers globally.

What is particularly exciting from Cauldron’s perspective is the potential for low C1 cash costs which are comparable to the C1 cash cost profile of other ISL mines.

For example a feasibility study into Peninsular Energy’s Lance uranium project in the United States outlined a C1 cash cost for the project of $US12.9 per pound versus conventional rock moving methods of $30 to $40 per pound.

“The potential is there for creating outstanding value for the shareholders because these ISL operations are in the lowest cost quartile and can generate a comfortable margin, even in the low market conditions that exist today,” Cauldron said.

“This puts Cauldron at an advantage to other uranium plays which cannot get off the ground unless the uranium price improves considerably.”

Marree

The Marree project, which is part of a $6.2 million joint venture between Cauldron, the Korean government, Daewoo and LG International, lies in the Eromanga Basin adjacent to the uranium-rich Mount Babbage Inlier, some 550km north of Adelaide.

Earlier this year, Cauldron completed a 4,982m rotary mud-drilling program where anomalous uranium mineralisation identified what was understood to be a uranium-bearing palaeovalley requiring further investigation.

This geological mapping and geophysical work has delivered an exciting insight into the uranium distribution within the region.

Cauldron will conduct thorough testing of the area via a soil sampling program planned for August and September.

A targeted drilling campaign is planned to follow-up on from the expected success of the sampling program in establishing a new geological understanding of the area.

Amadeus

Cauldron’s Amadeus project lies 50km south of Alice Springs in the Northern Territory’s Amadeus Basin.

Exploration at Amadeus has so far focused on uranium mineralisation associated with a regionally extensive redox boundary similar to the nearby Pamela and Angela uranium deposits held in a 50:50 joint venture between Paladin and Cameco Australia.

West Lake Frome

The West Lake Frome project lies 450km north of Adelaide in South Australia and comprises three granted exploration licences covering 1,444sqkm and is prospective for sedimentary hosted uranium deposits.

The project is subject to a farm-in and joint venture agreement with Uranium Equities who will manage and fund $5 million in exploration spending over five years to earn an 80 per cent stake.

Late last year, Uranium Equities completed a 20-hole reconnaissance rotary mud drilling program on the Frome Embayment tenements which includes the West Lake Frome tenements.

Drilling identified downhole gamma values with results including 0.37m at 143ppm uranium equivalent from 194.5m and 1.09m at 152ppm uranium equivalent from 197.2m.

Glencoe

Glencoe lies 450km northeast of Adelaide in the Lake Frome region and comprises one granted exploration licence covering 922sqkm.

The project is prospective for roll front type uranium mineralisation within sediments of the Tertiary Lake Eyre Basin.

Mawson

The project is located in the prospective Mount Painter Complex, 500km north of Adelaide, and comprises one exploration licence covering 88sqkm.

The licence lies only 5km southwest of Marathon Resources’ 66 Mlb Mt Gee uranium deposit.

ARGENTINA

Through its wholly-owned subsidiary Jackson Global and an agreement with Argentinian company Caudillo Resources, Cauldron controls over 3,400sqkm of ground in six project areas across four provinces.

Rio Colorado

The Rio Colorado uranium-copper-silver project is located in Catamarca, one of the Argentina’s principal mining provinces, and covers some 454sqkm.

Rio Colorado comprises four granted mining leases, six granted exploration licences and four mining lease applications.

Cauldron has the right to earn 92.5 per cent of the Rio Colorado project through its wholly owned subsidiary Jackson Global.

The deposit consistently outcrops over a 17km strike showing evidence of numerous small scale historical artisanal workings focused on identifying sandstone hosted silver-copper-uranium mineralisation.

This extensive outcropping strike is open at depth and has undergone extensive surface sampling; Cauldron plans to confirm the project’s value by delineation at depth following the establishment of solid government and local support.

Rio Colorado ranks as the highest potential value deposit within Cauldron’s impressive stable of Argentinian assets.

Esperanza

The Esperanza project is located in the La Rioja province and comprises eight licences covering 756sqkm and is prospective for sandstone hosted uranium deposits.

Recent field mapping and early exploration work have identified Esperanza as an exciting prospect.

This early stage project has the potential to move quickly up Cauldron’s ranks as it grades highly in terms of potential and early realisable value. The focus for the company’s Argentinian geology team is to fast-track the exploration in this project area.

Las Marias

The Las Marias project in the San Juan province comprises two granted exploration licences and nine applications covering an area of 793sqkm.

The project was explored by the Atomic Energy Commission of Argentina (CNEA) in the 1970’s.

Cauldron believes priority exploration targets exist under cover, along extensions of the outcropping mineralisation.

Los Colorados

Last year, Cauldron entered into an agreement with Argentinian company Caudillo Resources to fund exploration at the historic Los Colorados uranium mine in the La Rioja province.

The mine has previously produced around 55 tonnes of uranium concentrate from roll-front sandstone hosted uranium mineralisation between 1992 and 1996.

Caudillo holds an exclusive option with Energia Y Minerales Sociedad Del Estado to purchase 77.5 per cent of the Los Colorados tenements.

The project comprises one granted mining lease and one granted exploration licence.

FUTURE ACTIVITIES

Australia

Cauldron is currently preparing to conduct a 5,000m drilling campaign at Yanrey to further define the extent of mineralisation on the eastern side of the Bennet Well resource area.

The campaign will also focus on the very prospective Bennet Well South region where drilling completed in 2010 included 1.5m at 1152ppm equivalent uranium oxide.

A drilling contractor has provided verbal assurance they have a suitable drilling rig available and, subject to a contractual agreement, agree to provide a drill rig for Yanrey in October.

At Marree, the company is preparing to undertake a tenement-wide soil sampling and mapping program, designed to further define drilling targets identified during previously completed drilling.
 
Cauldron intends to complete a 3,000 to 5,000m drilling program at Maree towards the end of 2012 to complete follow-up drilling which will be based on the results of recent work to test any soil anomalies detected in the planned soil sampling program.

Argentina

Looking ahead, the priority for future exploration in Argentina is to identify further drilling targets by early 2013.

What is exciting as far as Cauldron is concerned is that Argentina is seeking to secure a local source for its domestic uranium requirements, which are currently fully imported.

Argentina has:

–    two nuclear reactors generating nearly one-tenth of its electricity, and another reactor finishing construction;

–    highly prospective geology for uranium;

–     strong history of uranium mining and production;

–     long term commitment to nuclear power; and

–    current 100 per cent requirement to import the uranium needed to satisfy domestic consumption

Cauldron, through its subsidiaries, is well positioned to take advantage of Argentina’s prospectivity for uranium and the expectation locally is that Cauldron will take up the challenge offered by the pro-mining government for establishing local production capacity to supply this key power commodity.

“Argentina is a nuclear power nation with three nuclear power stations and as yet they don’t have any uranium mines reporting production,” Cauldron said.

“That bodes very well for Cauldron.”

GLOBAL URANIUM MARKET

Despite the Fukushima nuclear power plant disaster, analysts are bullish on uranium prices with emerging markets including China, India, South Korea and Russia reaffirming their commitment to developing nuclear power.

According to figures released by World Nuclear Association, there are currently 488 nuclear reactors in operation, 65 under construction, 158 reactors planned for construction and 329 reactors proposed as of August 2012.

China is leading the surge in nuclear reactors with 26 nuclear reactors under construction and another 51 plants reaching advanced planning stages.

Many other countries are also pushing ahead with their plans for nuclear power programs.

India’s demand for nuclear energy is expected to soar from 5000 megawatts to 63,000 megawatts by 2030.

The country currently has seven nuclear reactors under construction and plans for an additional 18 reactors.

Other countries leading the drive for nuclear energy include Russia, which has 10 reactors under construction and 17 reactors planned, and South Korea, with four reactors under construction and five planned.

One of the world’s largest uranium companies, Cameco, predicts an increase in demand for uranium in the long term with 95 new reactors expected to come online over the next decade, of which more than 60 are currently under construction.

While Japan has cut back its usage with 50 nuclear reactors sitting idle in the wake of Fukushima, analysts believe it is inevitable that the country will move back to nuclear power considering there is no viable long-term alternative.

This is highlighted by Kansai Electric Power Company’s recent move to restart the No. 3 and the No. 4 reactors at the Ohi nuclear plant, northeast of Osaka.

According to Cameco, approval to restart the two reactors would help pave the way for additional restarts in the near future.

On the supply side, the World Nuclear Association says the world consumes 176.7Mlb of uranium each year, with reactors under construction alone accounting for a 13 pre cent increase in demand which is approaching an annual uranium consumption requirement of 200Mlb.

However, there are concerns of a supply-demand gap that is expected to hit the uranium market in the near term.

Primary supply projects are being put on hold, including BHP Billiton delaying their decision to proceed with the AU$30 billion proposed expansion of the Olympic Dam mine and Cameco announcing they are putting the Kintyre project in the Great Sandy desert on ice.

Analysts believe there is potential for a supply gap of more than 30 Mlbof uranium by 2014 due to project delays and expiry of the Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) agreement between Russia and the US in 2014, which reportedly provided around 13 per cent of total global uranium supply.

Recent offtake deals and contracts also bode well for the future of uranium companies.

The United Arab Emirates has recently awarded $3 billion dollars’ worth of contracts to companies including Rio Tinto and Areva SA to supply nuclear power to four nuclear reactors in Sausdi Arabia and will cover the first 15 years of the reactors’ operations.

Meanwhile, Paladin Energy surprised the market by announcing it had secured a $US200 million long-term offtake contract with an unnamed “major utility”.

Under the six-year agreement, Paladin will deliver 13.7 Mlbof uranium oxide to the unnamed party between 2019 and 2024.

There has also been the recent sale of BHP’s Yeelirrie uranium deposit, Australia’s second-biggest unmined uranium deposit, to Cameco for $A413 million, with BHP Billiton chief executive Marius Kloppers said the deposit was too small for the miner’s portfolio.

The sale of Yeelirrie bodes well for Cauldron and for the broader uranium sector in Australia as it may potentially result in Cameco ramping up work on the mine to get it into production in the future.

The nuclear landscape in Australia is also changing with the Gillard government overturning a long-standing ban on uranium sales to India in December, despite India not having signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

In Western Australia, recent approvals for the Toro Energy’s Wiluna project pave the way for future resources in that state.


CAULDRON ENERGY ASX:CXU

DIRECTORS
Tony Sage
Brett Smith
Qiu Derong

PRINCIPAL OFFICE
32 Harrogate Street
West Leedervile, WA 6007

Phone: +61 (0) 8 9211 5777
Fax: +61 (0) 8 9211 5700

WEB
www.cauldronenergy.com.au