Obama and Romney bring Brat Pack vibe to The Roadhouse

Friday night Karaoke at The Roadhouse went Las Vegas style this week with a surprise performance from US presidential hopefuls Barack Obama and Mitt Romney.

The campaign combatants entertained the small, intimate crowd with songs from the Brat Pack song book.

 

First song: You say Tomatoe, I say Tomato.

It wasn’t until the song was finished that they realised they were actually talking about the same fruit.

  

Song Two: I get no kick from champagne…

But I sure do get a kick outta you!

Song Three: What a Swell Party.

The lads really hit their straps on this Sinatra / Crosby classic.

Closing number: My Way

Couldn’t take turns and just belted the tune out as loud as they could trying to drown each other out.

 

Don’t forget to tip the waitress!

Justin Tremain – Renaissance Minerals

ONE OFF THE WOOD: On his way home from the Cambodian gold project Renaissance Minerals (ASX: RNS) managing director Justin Tremain stopped by to update us on the company’s recent activities.

 


If we were to have had this conversation six months ago we would be discussing Renaissance Minerals as an Australian-focused exploration play, now you’re all about Cambodia, what happened?

We listed two and half years ago on the back of our large Western Australian landholding, the Eastern Goldfields project, which is located northeast of Kalgoorlie.

It is an early stage exploration project and we had always been looking for another, more advanced project; one that offered excellent exploration potential that would reflect the expertise and track record of the people involved in the company.

Cambodia is a long way from Kalgoorlie. What attracted you in that direction?

We had been looking at Southeast Asia, as we considered a lot of countries there to hold some great geological opportunities, but some of those countries do have their challenges.

We became aware of the Cambodian gold project that OZ Minerals had – it was an old Oxiana project – and for various reasons it didn’t really sit within the strategy OZ Minerals has, which is now more focused on large scale copper projects.

So the project had been sitting unloved with OZ Minerals for some years.

Cambodia is a democracy with a stable government that is pro-foreign investment, whether it is mining or other industries, with one of the world’s most favourable foreign investment policies in place.

This means it is possible to obtain security of tenure and the country is highly-prospective.

Due to its unfortunate history, however, it has remained one of the most under-explored countries in the region.

It sounds like it is one of those projects that could be wasted in the portfolio of a larger company as it can too easily be denied the attention it deserves, which a smaller company, such as Renaissance can give it?

That’s right. The project is not big enough to capture the interest of a bigger company like OZ Minerals and, being a gold project, is the wrong commodity.

For us the opportunity was one that just doesn’t come up all that often.

Why was it such a great opportunity?

The project came with a significant resource of 12.6 million tonnes at 1.8 grams per tonne for 729,000 ounces of gold that is contained within just one deposit, the Okvau deposit.

Not only does the potential exist to grow that one deposit, potential also exists to make further discoveries as well.

Was the Okvua deposit identified by you or by OZ Minerals?

OZ Minerals was really the first ‘western’ exploration company to explore and identify the potential of Cambodia.

They picked up two exploration licences, the first of which was Okvau, and the adjoining licence.

Those two licences cover around 400 square kilometres, and we would argue, given the early recognition by Oxiana, OZ Minerals were able to go on and pick up some of the most prospective ground in the country.

Subsequent to that more ground was added, eventually giving us around 1,000 square kilometres in that prospective ground.

When was the Okvau deposit first discovered?

In 2007; Okvau was the first prospect OZ Minerals drilled, which they drilled out to the current resource, which we inherited.

Was there any reason they didn’t expand their drilling of the project?

The company went through some corporate restructure during the GFC, resulting in a shift of focus to pure copper assets.

This meant they really only conducted limited drilling beyond Okvau, despite the exploration potential that existed there.

 

How have you approached operating in a different jurisdiction?

One of the beauties of the acquisition was the project came complete with an, in country, operation team, all of which we have been able to retain.

They have ready-established local relationships with the government and local service providers.

Most importantly they have an intimate knowledge of the project. Some members of the team have been working on the project from day one.

That allowed us, pretty much from the first day we became official owners of the project, to commence drilling straight away.

That sort of team usually takes a long time to establish at home, let alone in a foreign jurisdiction.

How much drilling have you been able to do so far?

OZ Minerals conducted around 24,000 metres of drilling within the Okvau licence, of which about 22,000 metres accounted for the resource.

Since May, when we assumed ownership of the project, we have completed a further 6,000 metres of drilling.

So we have increased the amount of drilling at the project by around 25 per cent in the first six months we have been there.

 

Are there any seasonal restrictions to working in Cambodia?

The west season runs from May / June through to around October / November, which has restricted us in what we have been able to achieve so far.

It curtailed any opportunity to get out and enjoy free access to the rest of the ground, which has meant that although we have been active, the drilling we have completed has mainly been step-out drilling around the Okvau deposit.

We haven’t, as yet, been able to drill other targets, which we consider have the potential for further discovery success.

Is that what you intend to do with the funds from the recent capital raising you completed?

We raised $10 million, combined with our existing cash balance allows us to take care of a couple of matters.

The first is the finalisation of a payment we still have owing to OZ Minerals.

It also provides ample funds for the next 12 months of drilling we intend carrying out, the majority of which will be on regional targets throughout the upcoming dry season.

OZ Minerals have managed to maintain a strong presence?

Part of the deal was that OZ Minerals came in as one of our major shareholders.

They still see a lot of value in the project, which is probably why they have been a strong supporter of the raising we have just completed.

I think they want to keep their foot in the door and participate in the upside of the project; it’s just that it didn’t fit in their current strategy, which is to be a copper company.

What does all this mean for your domestic projects?

Our focus is on Cambodia because that’s the project we recognise as being the one we can bring to development quickest.

We have divested our Southern Cross project via a joint venture with Southern Cross Goldfields.

That leaves our Eastern Goldfields landholding as our other major asset.

We still consider it to be of much value to the company simply because anybody would struggle to put together such an impressive land package.

We’re definitely not looking to divest, or sell it of at this stage, even though we have had some interest in that regard since we announced our focus shift to Cambodia.

At this stage, it would appear the Cambodia gold project is the best chicken to place your eggs in?

The Cambodia gold project is ahead of the Eastern Goldfields by 729,000 ounces of gold and the relatively small amount of drilling we have completed so far has demonstrated there is more to come from the Okvau deposit.

We can see those ounces a lot more clearly in Cambodia than what we can in WA.

What the Brokers Say

Interesting news and views from across the Resource Analyst universe

Hastings Rare Metals (ASX: HAS)

 

Hastings Rare Metals Limited (ASX: HAS) is an Australian company headquartered in Sydney,  focused on the exploration, development and production of Heavy Rare Earth Oxides (HREO) from its world-class deposit located in the North West of Western Australia.

The company recently completed a Scoping Study on its 100 per cent-owned 36.2 million tonne Hastings deposit.

The base case study returned a mine life of plus-25 years, Net Present Value (NPV) of $1.9 billion, Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 26 per cent and a payback period of 3.6 years.

The Hastings project contains significant quantities of dysprosium and yttrium, both considered critical strategic materials by the US Department of Energy.

Hastings also owns 60 per cent of the Yangibana rare earths project located near Carnavon in the North West Western Australia.

Key Points:

Hastings Rare Metals has a JORC Resource of 36.2 million tonnes grading 2,100 parts per million total Rare Earth Oxide (TREO), containing 65,000 tonnes of Heavy Rare Earth Oxides (HREO) (85 per cent ratio of HREO to TREO);

The deposit contains significant quantities of dysprosium and yttrium, two critical HREO required in the manufacture of hybrid cars, wind turbines and several clean energy technologies. Both are considered critical materials by the United States Department of Energy, with supply shortages expected over the coming decade;

Recently completed a scoping study on the Hastings deposit confirming metallurgical flow sheet at bench scale (100kg) and financial viability of the project;

Base Case economics of NPV $1.9 billion, IRR of 26 per cent, payback 3.6 years, and total capital costs of $720 million excluding contingencies;

Hastings is progressing with a Pre-Feasibility Study, with operation of a pilot plant forecast to commence in the March quarter 2013 with the treatment of 30 tonnes of ore;

The Hastings project is significantly more advanced than many of its peers, with metallurgical flow sheet test work often takings several years to refine (ANSTO confirmed Hastings metallurgical flow sheet as part of the Scoping Study);

Recommendation:

We have maintained our Speculative Buy recommendation and a 12-month price target of $0.30 per share.


TNG Limited (ASX: TNG)

 

 

TNG Limited (ASX: TNG) has a large vanadium-titanium-iron resource at the company’s 100 per cent-owned Mount Peake project located close to existing infrastructure in the Northern Territory.

A patented processing flow sheet, called TIVAN, provides TNG with a significant competitive advantage allowing for high recovery rates of vanadium whilst also achieving high recovery rates for titanium and iron, which can be sold as a by-product.

The company is now well funded to advance the project through the DFS stage and continue exploration within its diverse portfolio.

TNG’s principle focus is the advancement of the 100 per cent-owned Mount Peake vanadium-titanium-iron project located 235 kilometres north of Alice Springs.

The project currently hosts a JORC resource of 160 million tonnes at 0.27 per cent vanadium pentoxide, five per cent titanium dioxide and 22 per cent iron with significant opportunity for resource upgrades as drilling continues.

TNG has a conceptual exploration target for an additional 500 to 700 million tonnes in the surrounding area at similar grades to the current resource.

The recently completed Mount Peake PFS indicates an economically robust and lucrative project.

The economics have been enhanced by a revolutionary processing route, called TIVAN, which has been developed and patented by the company.

Using TIVAN, TNG is able to achieve high recovery rates of vanadium whilst also achieving high recovery rates and purity for titanium and iron which can be sold as a by-product providing the company with a significant competitive advantage.

Following the positive outcomes of the PFS, TNG will commence a Definitive Feasibility Study.

TNG recently completed a $13 million placement with two cornerstone Chinese investors at 11 cents per share.

The company is now well funded to advance the Mount Peake project through the DFS.

Recommendation:
Speculative BUY


AusQuest Limited (ASX: AQD)

AusQuest Limited (ASX: AQD) recently announced an agreement with major shareholder Cliffs Australia to sell 70 per cent of its interest in the Stanley manganese project in Western Australia, in exchange for the buy-back and cancellation of Cliff’s 29 per cent shareholding in AusQuest.

AusQuest will retain up to 30 per cent in the project and under the proposed agreement will sole-fund exploration of up to $1 million over 2 years.

After the $1 million exploration expenditure Cliffs may elect to sole-fund further exploration up to $3 million to earn an additional 10 per cent project interest, with the final joint venture (JV) form being AusQuest 20 per cent and Cliffs 80 per cent.

The Stanley manganese project is still in the early stages of exploration with manganese horizons identified but to date, no economic zones have been delineated.

AusQuest’s main commodity focus is on gold and copper, so it is a sensible move to sell a majority interest in a non-core (manganese) asset in exchanged for a reduced number of shares on issue.

The consideration for the project interest sale is approx. 68 million AusQuest shares, which is approx. 29 per cent of the AusQuest ordinary shares, which (if approved and successful) implies that after the transaction AusQuest will have approx. 160 million shares on issue.

Existing shareholders will have an increased interest in the company but a decreased project interest at Stanley.

AusQuest has a diversified portfolio of base and precious metal projects across Australia, Peru and Burkina Faso.

Recent exploration focus has been advancing gold and base metals prospects in Burkina Faso, through activities over the 100 per cent-owned Comoé project.

The project is located within the under-explored Banfora greenstone belt, to the east of Gryphon Minerals (ASX:GRY) 4.5 million ounce Banfora gold resource.

AusQuest has also been active with the Cliffs Peru JV, in which it holds a 30 per cent interest in a project area covering approx. 45,000 square kilometres.

The ground in Peru is largely under-explored and is considered prospective for large copper-gold mineralised systems (IOCG and porphyries).

Recent reconnaissance mapping and sampling by AusQuest has identified anomalous copper (up to 1.7 per cent copper) and some gold (up to 2.7g/t) in some of the targets investigated with exploration activities now set to increase until the end of the year.

With a current estimated cash position of over $4 million, and with approx. $750,000 to come in from other asset sales in mid-January 2013, the company remains well funded for budgeted exploration programs in 2012 and early 2013.

Recommendation:

We continue to recommend AusQuest Limited as a Speculative Buy.

Pioneer spirit building on solid base

There is no doubt, especially in this current market, that when embarking on a rebuilding phase a company requires two important components.

The first is a clear idea of its current situation and a precise plan of what it wants to achieve.

The second, and some may say the most important, is a bank balance healthy enough to support its aspirations.

Pioneer Resources (ASX: PIO) began its journey of renewal last year when it commenced the sale of its Mt Jewell project to Carrick Gold (ASX: CRK).

“We knew the Mt Jewell to Carrick Gold transaction made sense from late last year, so during the first six months of this year we looked for new targets and we looked at some acquisition opportunities,” Pioneer Resources managing director David Crook told The Inside Story.

“The sale of our Mt Jewell project to Carrick Gold was for $8 million cash.

“We have already received $4.5 million on the fall of the hammer with the remaining $3.5 million to be paid in instalments over the next three years.”

Cash in the bank breeds confidence and armed with a good deal of both, Pioneer quickly moved to generate new targets and acquisitions to fill the gap left by the sale of Mt Jewell.

The company’s initial focus centred on its large landholding, situated within a 75 kilometre radius of Kalgoorlie in Western Australia.

This included the buyout of its partner’s share of the Golden Ridge gold and nickel project.

“Buying out our partner at Golden Ridge took us from owning 56 per cent of the nickel to delivering a 100 per cent outright interest in commodities, including gold, plus the old Blair nickel mine,” Crook explained.

“The crucial part of the Golden Ridge deal was that it delivered some very exciting gold targets originally identified by WMC.

“Under the nickel joint venture we didn’t have access to them.”

 

The advanced exploration targets at Golden Ridge include the Flying Squirrel, Gold Star and Duplex Hill South gold prospects, and the Norton, Anomaly 11 and Duplex Hill priority nickel targets.

Pioneer recently commenced its first 10,000 metre RAB drilling program targeting gold at the Gold Star prospect.

“WMC was very successful undertaking geochemistry and RAB drilling programs to identify gold, but just outgrew the project,” Crook said.

“As a consequence there are some great gold drilling intercepts that haven’t been followed up since the 1990s.

“We have now started that process.”

Pioneer’s commitment to exploration, despite the uncertain financial times, is well demonstrated by the $3 million it spent during the 2011-2012 year.

This included successful target generation work undertaken at its Gindalbie and Juglah Dome gold projects.

“One of the original aspects that drew our attention to Juglah Dome was its proximity to the Majestic gold discovery of Integra Mining,” Crook said.

“Local Kalgoorlie prospectors were coming into town with nuggets indicating the existence of gold in a number of places around the Juglah Dome tenement.

“As well, there is evidence of a structural corridor running between Juglah Dome and the Majestic deposit.”

Throughout 2011 and 2012, Pioneer completed programs of soil geochemistry, RAB drilling and geophysics at its core projects, which included:

–    15,000 soil geochemistry samples from the Gindalbie, Juglah Dome and Golden Ridge projects;

–    490sqkm gravity geophysics at the Gindalbie project;

–    33.5 line kilometres EM geophysics at the Golden Ridge project; and

–    18,500m RAB drilling at Gindalbie, Juglah Dome and Golden Ridge projects.

Pioneer continued to demonstrate its acquisition acumen by entering an agreement with private exploration play, National Minerals to acquire 75 per cent interest in the Fairwater project, located in the Albany-Fraser mineral province of Western Australia.

 

“The Board has always wanted a project situated in real, high-risk but high-reward, elephant country,” Crook said.

“The discovery of the world-class Tropicana gold deposit and the Nova nickel deposit has shown that the Fraser Orogenic Belt falls into that category.

“We like to think there could be some more elephants out there.”

The Fairwater acquisition delivers Pioneer a 75 per cent interest on all commodities within the 338 square kilometre project.

“We were approached by a group of highly-competent people who had targeted and pegged the project two and half years ago – not as a reaction to the current hubbub that is going on in the region,” Crook said.

“They recently completed their research and targeting for the project and were looking at a mechanism to get it into the public arena, and were happy for us to do that for them.

“The project has a low entry cost; we have a lot of work to do, however if the project does blossom they will make some money and our company will become a different beast altogether.”

It’s no secret there has been much excitement in recent times in the Fraser Range region, due in no small way to the recent discovery of the Nova nickel-copper deposit by Sirius Resources.

Of particular interest are a couple of targets Pioneer has identified adjacent to major structural zones, which it considers may be capable of acting as conduits for a mineralising event.

Soil sampling carried out on the project by Pan Australian Resources in 1998 identified two nickel anomalies, each with a strike length over four kilometres, as well as a six kilometre long gold anomaly.

“The Fairwater promoters drew geological analogies to both the Tropicana gold project and Sirius’ Nova nickel discovery,” Crook said.

“That is a big statement to make I know, but the project does have a four kilometre long gold anomaly, in rocks believed to be of an equivalent age and structural regime as Tropicana.

“And as far as nickel prospectivity goes, earlier explorers had the area looked over in some detail, which provided an interpretive geology map showing a mafic complex, bounded by a major crustal suture and, most importantly, a series of soil geochemistry anomalies with elevated coincident nickel, copper and chrome values.

“These geological and geochemical elements are the first things a mineral explorer looks for when hunting for a nickel deposit.

“So we consider we may have the first indications of a nickel deposit there.

“The first thing we are doing is to bring the soil sample data base up to date, and we have samplers on the ground now.

“If we get some encouraging nickel and copper numbers from that, which we expect we should, we will be able to move straight in with an EM survey to see if there is an elephant sitting there waiting for us.”

The Fairwater acquisition is a shrewd strategic move by Pioneer as it provides the company early entry into the emerging Albany-Fraser province.

This is a significant move for a junior exploration play as the region is rapidly becoming an important Western Australian mineral belt.

As significant as the move may be, Crook also hinted at the possibility of further news to come in regard to additional acquisitions closer to the company’s spiritual base of Kalgoorlie.

“Fairwater may have taken us out of our general 75 kilometre radius from Kalgoorlie,” he said.

“However, there are a few projects within that realm attracting our interest and we hope to have some more news on that front in the not-too-distant future.”

Pioneer Resources Limited (ASX: PIO)
…The Short Story

HEAD OFFICE
21 Ord Street
West Perth WA 6005

Ph: +61 8 9322 6974
Fax: +61 8 9486 9393

Email: pioneer@pioresources.com.au  
Web: www.pioresources.com.au

DIRECTORS
Craig McGown, David Crook, Allan Trench, Wayne Spilsbury

MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS
Xstrata Nickel Australasia 4.19%
Janet W Turner        2.29%
Colbern Fiduciary Nominees Pty Ltd  1.78%

SHARES ON ISSUE

510.5 million

MARKET CAPITALISATION

16.34 million (18/10/12)

Cape Alumina increases total Cape York bauxite Resource

THE BOURSE WHISPERER: Cape Alumina (ASX:CBX) has increased the total mineral resources across its suite of projects located on western Cape York, Queensland, to 202.4 million tonnes of high-quality, export-grade bauxite.

 

Cape Alumina’s tenements on western Cape York, Queensland. Source: Company announcement

 

The company had previously estimated a Measured, Indicated and Inferred Resource totalling 134.6Mt of bauxite at its Pisolite Hills integrated mine and port project, which was recently declared a ‘significant project’ by the Queensland Government.

In February, Cape Alumina released results of a 2011 dry-season exploration program conducted at its Bauxite Hills integrated mine and port project for plateaux BH1, BH2, BH6, which enabled the estimation of an Inferred Resource of 60.2Mt of bauxite.

An additional Inferred Resource of 3.8Mt of bauxite has been estimated for the BH4 and BH5 plateaux in the Bauxite Hills project area.

The company said its exploration program has also enabled it to estimate an Inferred Resource of 3.8Mt of bauxite at the Hey Point project area, which is adjacent to Rio Tinto Alcan’s South of Embley project.

A concept study dealing with the mining of the Hey Point resource has previously been completed and further studies are planned for this project.

These include investigations of a 0.5 million tonnes per annum mine, with a five year life, producing dry-screened, and export-grade bauxite.

Work at other Cape Alumina tenements on western Cape York is ongoing, which the company said is expected to further increase its resource base.

“We have just completed an exploration program at our Vrilya tenements and intend to advance projects in this and other areas in the future,” Cape Alumina managing director Graeme Sherlock, said in the company’s announcement to the Australian Securities Exchange.

“The recent results also show that we are on track to reach our overall exploration target of 300 to 400 million tonnes of bauxite resources within the western Cape York bauxite province.”

Sherlock said global demand for bauxite is expected to increase in the coming years and that Cape Alumina is uniquely positioned to meet market needs.

He used China as an example indicating its position as the world’s largest alumina producer and consumer that is short in bauxite due to the rate it is being consumed in the country.
 
Adding to China’s bauxite woes is its biggest external provider of bauxite, Indonesia taking the decision to legislate to ban bauxite exports from 2014 to encourage value adding down-stream processing in Indonesia.

“As a result, there is likely to be growing pressure on bauxite imports into China, which could lead to higher bauxite prices, and Chinese alumina producers are seeking a reliable, alternative, long-term supply of high-quality bauxite,” Sherlock said.

“A similar supply-demand dynamic occurred in the Australian coal and iron ore industries over the past ten years.

“We believe that western Cape York will become China’s preferred source of bauxite.

“Cape Alumina is uniquely positioned to meet this demand.”

What the Brokers say

Interesting news and views from across the Resource Analyst universe.

Excelsior Gold Ltd
(ASX:EXG)

EXG is a gold exploration and development company with tenements along the Bardoc Tectonic Zone to the north-west of the four million ounce Paddington gold mine.

Exploration and reinterpretation of historical data resulted in global resource growth of plus 105 per cent to 952.6koz at 1.7 grams per tonne gold over the past two years.

At the Zoroastrian deposit resources have expanded plus-120 per cent to 286.3koz at 2.8g/t gold in eight months.

Drilling re-commencing at Zoroastrian in early October, targeting strike and depth extensions, as well as these parallel loads ignored by previous operators.

Potential for Excelsior Gold to triple the Zoroastrian resource over the next 6 to 12 months.

Extensional drilling at Zoroastrian has increased potential to develop a standalone plant on the site of the old Bardoc mill.

Delivery of an expanded Zoroastrian resource will, in our view, enable Excelsior Gold to develop a 1 to 1.5 million tonnes per annum capacity plant, producing in excess of 85koz gold per annum.

Excelsior Gold is due to complete a PFS in JQ13.

The cash position of the company, as at September 2012 was $5.8m (expected expenditure for DQ12 is $2.9m).

The company is funded to progress exploration and development studies for the next 6 months; however acceleration of Zoroastrian exploration, which we would view as positive, may require further capital.

Recommendation: BUY and place a 12 month price target of 24 cents per share on a $ per resource ounce basis.

Price target contingent on delivery of a Zoroastrian resource of 700koz gold at a grade of 2.5 to 3g/t.

A preliminary DCF valuation based on completion of a BFS targeting a 1.5Mtpa operation producing plus-85koz per annum to provide a valuation guide of 40 cents per share.

Greenland Minerals and Energy Ltd
(ASX:GGG)

Rare earth and uranium giant moves towards mining

Following recent metallurgical breakthroughs and a gradual pro-uranium political shift in Greenland, Greenland Minerals and Energy’s Kvanefjeld Rare Earth Elements (REE) – uranium project (in-ground resources approx. $450 billion) is likely to be operating within the next five years.

Key points:

Kvanefjeld: the world’s second-largest deposit of rare earths (RE-oxide 10.33 million tonnes) and fifth of uranium (575 million pounds), with significant zinc (2.25 million tonnes) and calcite.

Metallurgical breakthroughs mean simple, low cost processing by flotation and  atmospheric leach.

PFS updated Aug 2012: processing 7.2 million tonnes per annum for 36 years, producing 51.9 thousand tonnes per annum rare earth oxide (REO) as carbonate and 2.6 million pounds per annum uranium, OPEX $3.07 per kilogram REO with uranium credits at $70 per pound.

CAPEX is US$1.3 billion with likely further reductions due to metallurgical improvements. Project is scalable, so potential to start smaller and expand.

Greenland Minerals and Energy moving to 100 per cent ownership from 61 per cent, Joint Venture legal problems resolved.

Moratorium on mining uranium in Greenland; however, Greenland Minerals and Energy has approval to investigate uranium potential up to DFS. Mining Licence possible in 1H14.

Kvanefjeld is one of the few Tier 1 mineral projects held by a small cap that has a real chance of being built in the next five years.

With post-tax NPV (15 per cent) of $2.4 billion, its economic potential is indisputable.

The main challenges for Greenland Minerals and Energy will be obtaining a mining licence, funding, and generating confidence among investors in the REE and uranium markets.

Price target over 12 months is a speculative $2.32/sh, contingent on a near-term shift in Greenland’s anti-uranium stance.

If the uranium moratorium stands, Kvanefjeld will be hard to develop.

A binary outcome if ever we’ve seen one.

Recommendation: Buy (Speculative) 12 month target $2.32/sh

 

Dourado Resources Limited
(ASX:DUO)

Exploration recommences at Yerrida Basin-Goodin Dome

After a quiet 2012 over which the market experienced an aggressive sell down of risk assets, we are more confident of renewed market interest in ASX-listed junior explorers such as Dourado Resources as it recommences exploration at its Mooloogool-Diamond Well tenements covering around 2,400 square kilometres in the Yerrida Basin Goodin Dome region of Western Australia.

The tenements are situated south of Sandfire Resources’ (ASX:SFR) DeGrussa project (14.6 million tonnes at 4.6 per cent copper, 1.6 grams per tonne gold) and cover prospective lithologies and cross cutting regional structures that are potential hosts for copper / gold mineralisation.

14 copper / gold geochemical anomalies identified to date appearing to overlap on to neighbouring tenements held by Enterprise Metals (ASX:ENT), Great Western Exploration (ASX:GTE) and Thundelarra Resources (ASX:THX).

A soil geochemical program is planned over 10 tenements together with 11 Aircore holes in the south-east of the Mooloogool-Diamond Well tenements.

A HELITEM survey is also planned for the southern tenements.

Impressive results from neighbouring properties including Ventnor Resources (ASX:VRX) with high-grade copper results from Thaduna-Green Dragon and Enterprise Metals who recently reported high-grade gold intercepts from the Vulcan gold prospect including 4 metres at 3.9g/t gold from 84m
downhole.

2012 RC program extended gold mineralisation further north, east and south at Sabbath gold project (145,000t at 2.21g/t gold).

Results from second phase of RC drilling are awaited.

Recent soil geochemical sampling at Garden Gully (Mistletoe tenement) identified gold mineralisation in the south of the tenement (close to Doray Minerals (ASX:DRM) Andy Well project, 717,000t at 11.4g/t gold for 262,000 ounces)– a follow up RAB program is planned.

A further 10 targets have been identified in the southern tenements.

Price Catalyst

Exploration success at the Yerrida Basin-Goodin Dome tenements still represents the best opportunity for Dourado to stimulate market interest.

The recent discovery of elevated gold mineralisation by Enterprise Metals has further underlined the regions’ prospectivity.

The imminent publication of a maiden JORC copper resource at Ventnor’s Thaduna/Green Dragon in the order of 150 million tonnes at greater than 2 per cent copper should also boost market sentiment.

Recommendation: accumulate under 6 cents.

Dominic Tisdell – Apollo Minerals

ONE OFF THE WOOD: Apollo Minerals managing director Dominic Tisdell (ASX:AON) pulled up a seat at the bar this week to explain his company’s move into Gabon in western Central Africa.

 

Could you quickly take us through the Apollo Minerals project portfolio?

We have three iron ore projects; one is in Western Australia, which is the Mt Oscar project, the second is the Commonwealth Hill project located in South Australia.

The final project is our newest – and that is the Kango North project, located in Gabon in western Central Africa.

At what stage of development are each of these projects?

The South Australian iron ore project at Commonwealth Hill we view as a near-term development project with the potential to be in production within three years.

There is also a good deal of base and precious metals potential at Commonwealth Hill.

We have a large layered intrusive there and recent work has indicated it to be highly-prospective for nickel, copper and platinum group metals sulphide style mineralisation.

We will continue to identify drill-ready targets there and we are also busily working our way through an IOCG review of the property.

Preliminary work has indicated a couple of high-quality targets. We will continue to work them up and hopefully confirm them in the next few months.

The Mt Oscar project in Western Australia is a mid-term development proposition given the lack of port facilities to support it at the present moment.

The Kango North project in Gabon is very much a greenfields exploration prospect, however the work we have done in the past six months, since the licence was granted, has been encouraging.

We consider it to be a project with much potential.

How does the company rank the projects in priority terms?

Our focus sees us currently spending around 95 per cent of our time in South Australia at Commonwealth Hill.

We are busily working our way through the final stages of a scoping study there, which will outline the basic business plan and economics for its development. We anticipate finalising that shortly.

Our Kango North project in Gabon is emerging as our second priority. We have some preliminary exploration drilling work planned for there.

We expect that we should be able to prove up quite a large high-quality resource there. Should that be the case then we will look to fast-track that project as well.

Mt Oscar ranks as our number three priority, simply for no other reason than the lack of port facilities available to us.

The Gawler Craton is emerging as a dynamic region, almost to the stage where it is leaving parts of Western Australia in its wake?

It really is. That was probably best exemplified by a recent announcement from the South Australian state government announcing the moratorium over the Woomera prohibitive Area (WPA) has been lifted.

The South Australian government has recognised that the WPA is highly-prospective for iron ore, as well as Olympic Dam-style IOCG-style deposits, amongst others.

We have ground that is prospective for both, so it is a big announcement for us that people can now get in there and start doing some serious work.

What does the SA government announcement mean for Apollo?

Effectively it means we have more certainty that should we be in a place to submit a mining lease application it is more likely to get the tick from the Department of Defence.

It provides us with a greater amount of certainty of pushing towards production.

You referred to the Gabon project as your ‘new’ project. When did you acquire it and how did that all come about?

 

We worked hard to acquire the right licence in Gabon and were required to go through a rigorous application and review process with the government.

The licence was granted to us in the second half of this year.

We have 400 square kilometres of granted tenements, over which we hold the iron ore and gold rights.

It is very well situated, being only 60 kilometres by rail to a bulk commodities export port, and within 20 kilometres of two hydro-electric power stations.

So it has all the right ingredients – location wise – for being quite a low-cost operation.

How does Gabon shape up in the sovereign risk stakes?

That’s another positive feature of the project – the quality of the government and the stability of the country.

Gabon is, in relative terms, quite a rich nation in Africa with a history in the oil and gas industry, which helped develop the country.

It has one of the highest per capita GDPs in Africa as well as a stable government that is interested in foreign investment.

It is also a relatively easy place to conduct business, which is great.

Has there been much historic exploration work carried out on your tenements?

Our ground has not had very much exploration conducted on it previously, no drilling that we are aware of, but there are known occurrences of gold and iron ore on the property.

Our recent field work has effectively verified the iron ore prospectivity and we have just recently completed some basic preliminary metallurgical test work that has demonstrated that we can achieve very high mass recoveries approaching 50 per cent.

It has also indicated potential to produce high-quality products of almost pure iron ore grading at 69 per cent plus iron.

That all means we have a couple of good indicators there to achieving premium pricing and low operating costs.

It is interesting that you so vigorously pursued a greenfileds project. You must have liked what you originally saw there?

We did. We went through a thorough Due Diligence process, which entailed a number of field trips over the licence area involving a number of blue chip consultants in the review.

The prospectivity of the tenements stood up after such a grilling as did the indicative economics, which made it a project we were very happy to get our hands on.

You recently announced a resource target for the project that suggests it is behaving how you expected it would?

We are anticipating, initially, between two to three hundred million tonnes of iron ore from the south eastern part of the tenement.

We expect we will be able to increase that exploration target after the next round of field work.

Things are currently looking good in terms of planning the next year’s exploration program with the view of improving the definition of the iron ore resources and starting to evaluate the known gold occurrences.

That all sounds like you have a lot going on in both South Australia and Gabon. How are you funding all this work?

We’re in a fairly sound place at the moment, finance wise. We recently raised just shy of $3.6 million mid-way through 2012.

A healthy amount of that was taken up by India’s third-largest steel producer, Jindal Steel and Power increasing its holding in Apollo to a 9.25 per cent stake.

We still have just over $2.5 million in the bank having completed the work program we had committed to, which was finalising the scoping study and getting a JORC-compliant resource in place for the Sequoia deposit of 72 million tonnes at 25.9 per cent iron, including 5.4 million tonnes at 38.9 per cent iron in South Australia.

That means we will be moving on to our next stage of development with cash in the bank.

So what is the next move development-wise, Africa or South Australia?

We are definitely keen to do both, having said that our priority is moving South Australia towards production as soon as possible.

So most of our money and efforts will be directed to South Australia, but we also consider by spending a smaller amount of capital we can make serious headway in Gabon.

Junior sector showing signs of recovery

There are some positive signs emerging in the junior resource sector and as long as we are not poleaxed by the Dow Jones we could see decent conditions leading into Christmas and beyond.

A few observations and comments:
 
Major increase in trading halts for capital raisings.

When we came out of the GFC there were a number of low priced placements and rights issues that had to be digested and following the brutality of June/July 2012 I see no major difference here.
 
Stale bulls the other resistance

Especially as long suffering shareholders will look to sell into the first sign of strength.  
 
The stellar performance of Sirius Resources (ASX:SIR)

Created much interest in near-ologists Buxton Resources (ASX:BUX) and Matsa Resources (ASX:MAT) and resulted in strong rallies from Peel Mining (ASX:PEX), Sabre Resources (ASX:SBR) and Marmota Energy (ASX:MEU).

These rallies are now spreading to other juniors across a number of sectors.

This is resulting in short-lived rallies lacking follow through but serves to highlight just how powerful the fear of missing out is.

Speculators have now seen Sirius run from 5.7c to $2.99 and they don’t want to miss out.

 

Source: ASX

When you think back to July it is amazing how the mindset of the speculator has changed.

Unfortunately mind power cannot alter geology and I think there are some major disappointments ahead and a vast number of traders are going to get caught out.

As Kim Slater mentioned to me recently on YMYC, lobster pots are easy to get into but difficult to get out of.
 
Anxiety levels must be increasing.

With more stocks now running on rock chips, soil samples, and geological similarities the temptation to liquidate the slower moving stocks in favour of spreading out into the “hot” stocks must be overwhelming.

This strategy might result in some early success but you end up owning far too many juniors and may lead to some nasty habits that many find impossible to eradicate.
 
The Dow Jones I believe is the biggest threat to what we are seeing now.

Even though there was a 110 point drop last night the volatility has been far too low for my liking and we could well see some 200-plus down sessions in the short-term.

This is perfectly normal considering how well the Dow has rallied and whilst it mightn’t signal a nasty bear market it could be enough to cause some panic across the exploration sector.
 
The IPO market remains lacklustre at best

However Boadicea Resources (ASX:BOA) listed yesterday.

Boadicea is immediately adjacent and along trend to Sirius’ Nova Discovery – the edge of Boadicea’s tenement is approximately 4.2 kilometres from Nova.

 

The company raised $1,120,500 under the initial Public Offer by the issue of 5.6 million fully paid ordinary shares at an issue price of 20 cents. Source: ASX

The fascination with selling a stock at a neat number continues.

At the time of writing on the sell side of Sirius there were only 3623 shares for sale at $2.97 but 157,550 at $2.99 and 232,675 at $3.00.

At $3.02 there were only 10,000 shares for sale.

Sirius’ all-time high thus far is $2.99 and I wonder how many sellers are now feeling stranded because they refused to a take a cent or two less?

Sure Sirius may power its way through $3.00 on the next major run but sometimes the calls of stocks going to 5c, 10c, 20c, 50c, $1.00 and so on need to be treated as a guide only.

Throughout my career as an advisor one of the hardest things to do for many people was to break 100,000 shares.

These days with fuel dockets you have your hand on the bowser until it clicks and you don’t worry about running it to $90.03.

I have suggested to some that buying odd parcels such as 123,579 of something could be worthwhile in taking the first steps to learning how to let go.
 
Positive feedback increasing.

We are starting to hear stories on forums and events where people are now boasting about how much money they are making.

Egos on the rise along with the spread of FIGJAM.

You should have seen it during the blow off phase in the Dotcom bubble but all I can say is that people should not ‘mistake a bull market for brains’.

If you know what you are doing and have a decent BS detector this is the type of market you want with the key being able to sell all the way up without the fear that some stocks might go higher.

‘This time it’s different’ are the four most expensive words in history and if this mini exploration bubble intensifies then they will become extremely relevant.

Helix signs $19.5M MoU with Mitsubishi

THE BOURSE WHISPERER: Helix Resources (ASX:HLX) has entered into a Memorandum of Understanding with Mitsubishi Materials Corporation covering the Joshua copper project, located in Region IV Chile.

 

Project location map. Source: Company announcement

 

The MoU outlines the funding by Mitsubishi of $4.5 million to fund exploration activities to advance the Joshua project over the next 18 months to earn a 20 per cent Joint Venture interest [Phase 1].

Helix will act as manager of the JV.

“The Joshua copper project has significant potential and we welcome MMC’s support to create value,” Helix Resources chairman Greg Wheeler said in the company’s announcement to the Australian Securities Exchange.

“This deal illustrates the unrecognised value in our Mineral Asset portfolio and we will continue to seek industry partners to advance and monetize this value.”

Upcoming activities will include drilling of IP and alteration targets to confirm the potential size and grade profile, as well as a High Level Scoping study on technical and financial viability aspects.

Mitsubishi has the right after Phase 1 to contribute $15 million in funding and earn a 50 per cent JV interest [Phase 2].

Exploration activities throughout this phase will include a plus-30,000 metres drilling program to determine a JORC Resource.

During this phase there will also be certain Pre- Feasibility Studies carried out on Infrastructure Assessment, Mining and Processing, Environmental Reviews and Detailed Financial Analyses.

Should Mitsubishi not exercise its right after providing Phase 1 funding, the two companies will jointly fund and/or introduce a third party to advance the Joshua project.

Helix said the parties are targeting 31 October 2012 as the anticipated date for completing the deal once Mitsubishi has completed its due diligence process.

MMC is a Japan based multinational company focused on supplying basic materials to the World.

The company has established operating bases in 25 countries and regions worldwide.

Glencore-Xstrata to hold 11 per cent of global zinc market

Resources sector intelligence provider IntierraRMG has outlined the approval by Xstrata independent directors of the revised US$33 billion takeover bid from Glencore last week, to not only create the formation of the world’s third-largest mining business in terms of market capitalisation, it will also result in the creation of an entity that will hold an impressive 11 per cent share of annual global mined zinc production.

Information from the IntierraRMG Mergers & Acquisitions data module shows that while some attention is focused on the new company’s oil trading strength and dominant position in coal and copper, it is in zinc that the combined organisation really pushes size and scale boundaries.

When the takeover deal receives final approval, Glencore-Xstrata will be the world’s largest zinc miner, one of the largest smelters, and also the leading trader of zinc.

“When the dust settles, Glencore-Xstrata will own more ships than the British Royal Navy and trade 3 per cent of the world’s oil, but it is the data surrounding zinc that best illustrates the trading power of the new entity,” IntierraRMG managing director Peter Rossdeutscher said.

On top of the double-digit share of annual global mined zinc production, Glencore-Xstrata will also hold 5 per cent of global contained zinc reserves (proven and probable), and control 8 per cent of global refined zinc production.

Source: IntierraRMG

“For industry watchers, the value of mined zinc production is itself impressive, however the combination of a very strong mining company with the world’s largest commodity trader, which already has its own production facilities and off-take agreements, is what is really striking,” Rossdeutscher added.

 

Source: IntierraRMG

Last month, Glencore raised its offer to 3.05 new shares for every Xstrata share it does not already hold (up from 2.8).

Its conditions for the higher price included naming its chief executive officer, and leading shareholder, Ivan Glasenberg, as chief executive of the enlarged company, with the departure of Xstrata’s CEO, Mick Davis, after six months.